It’s been a while since the Raiders have been seven point favorites over anyone, but given the fact that the Raiders beat the Broncos by 45 in Denver already this season, seven seems like a modest total. The Broncos also head into this game on the heels of a miserable showing in interim head coach Erik Studesville’s debut against the Cardinals. The Broncos lost 43-13.
At the root of the Broncos’ problems this year is an inability to stop the run. This plays right into the run heavy Raiders’ hands. The one thing keeping this spread at seven is the fact that bettors have been burned in this rivalry. The Raiders have upset the Broncos three straight season in their second and final matchup of the season.
So far this season the Raiders are 3-3 against the spread at home, while the Broncos are 2-4 against it on the road. Give the points and take the Raiders in this one. With the Broncos anemic run defense and the Raiders tendency to run and run it will, it makes for an unlikely upset. While seven is a large spread, both teams have shown their games can get out of hand quick once things get rolling.
Another appealing play here is the over. The over/under is currently at 44.5. The Raiders shattered this mark by themselves in the first meeting of these two teams. On the year, both team have been over in eight out of 13 contests. While the Raiders are a running team, they are a big play running team and they can score in a hurry when they get going.